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Ambivalence on PSU policy: Budget 2025 eyes higher dividends, lower equity

12 Feb 2025
2 min

Union Government's Approach to Public Sector Undertakings (PSUs)

The Union Budget for 2025-26 provides insights into whether there has been a change in the Union government's approach towards PSUs. To understand this, it is important to analyze the numbers in a historical context.

PSUs Financial Performance in 2019-20

  • Dividend from PSUs decreased sharply by 19% to ₹0.35 trillion.
  • Capital outlay rose marginally by 2% to ₹8.51 trillion.
  • Internal and Extra-Budgetary Resources (IEBR) increased by only 5% to ₹6.4 trillion.
  • Government's budgetary support to PSUs’ capital outlay decreased by 7% to ₹2.1 trillion.
  • Share of government equity and loans in PSUs’ capital outlay fell to 25%.
  • Disinvestment receipts dropped by 47% to ₹0.5 trillion.

Trends from 2019-2025

  • Capital outlay by PSUs showed a CAGR of less than 2%.
  • PSUs’ IEBR fell by about 10%.
  • Dividends transferred to the Centre increased by a CAGR of 9.5%.
  • Government's contribution to PSUs’ capital outlay rose by a CAGR of 21%.
  • Government's budgetary support to PSUs’ capital outlay increased to 59% by 2024-25 from 25% five years earlier.
  • Disinvestment saw a decline of about 8% over the five years.

Comparison with Previous Five Years

  • PSUs’ capital outlay and IEBR grew with a CAGR of 23% and 26% respectively.
  • Dividend payment grew at a mere CAGR of 2%.
  • Disinvestment receipts increased by a CAGR of about 9%.
  • Government's equity and loans had a CAGR of 26%.

Recent Policy and Approach

  • Despite the policy on strategic disinvestment announced in early 2021, actual disinvestment and privatisation were limited.
  • Instances of government reinvesting in struggling PSUs instead of privatising them.
  • No significant improvement in PSUs' ability to pay dividends or generate higher IEBR.
  • PSUs' dependence on government budgetary support increased.

Budget for 2025-26

  • Centre expects higher dividends from PSUs but marginal increase in disinvestment receipts.
  • Government’s contribution to PSUs’ capital outlay by way of equity and loans will decline.
  • PSUs are expected to generate higher IEBR and rely less on government budgetary support.
  • No clear return to strategic disinvestment policy.

The Union Government's approach to PSUs in the 2025-26 budget remains largely unchanged, with a continued ambivalence towards aggressive disinvestment. The focus appears to be on asset monetisation rather than asset sales.

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