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New phase in India-US ties: India will have to deal with unpredictability

17 Feb 2025
2 min

Prime Minister’s Visit to Washington

During Prime Minister's visit to Washington, a primary objective was to demonstrate India's willingness and active partnership with the U.S. under President Donald Trump's administration. This visit aimed to differentiate India as a more agreeable partner compared to European countries.

Key Outcomes and Statements

  • The joint statement issued post-visit reflected a cooperative tone in trade issues, which is more positive than President Trump's usual stance.
  • A plan was set for negotiations on a trade agreement, similar to the early-harvest discussions in 2020, to be concluded before the fall.

Challenges in Trade Relations

  • Despite cooperative talks, President Trump labeled India as a major offender on trade, emphasizing a "reciprocity"-based tariff structure.
  • The ambiguity in Trump's definition of "reciprocity" complicates potential trade agreements, as it might invite retaliatory tariffs even for fair trade practices.

Cooperation and Uncertainty

  • Efforts to create and expand cooperation in areas like critical minerals and defense face uncertainty due to the U.S.'s perceived unreliability.
  • Amendments to India's nuclear-liability regime could enhance investment, but timelines and quality of these amendments remain uncertain.
  • The U.S. pledge to review policies on exporting fifth-generation fighter aircraft to India may not lead to immediate commitments due to budget constraints.

Energy Security and Trust Building

  • Energy security emerged as a promising area for quick and effective cooperation, with both leaders agreeing on enhancing hydrocarbon production.
  • New Delhi is encouraged to identify and pursue opportunities that could build trust and provide easy wins for the U.S. administration.

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