Current Situation in Afghanistan
The situation in Afghanistan remains dire, with the Taliban in control, leading to severe limitations on women's rights and increased brutality. The past two decades saw significant progress for women's roles in society, only to be reversed by the current regime.
U.S. Involvement and Withdrawal
- The U.S. disengagement began under President Trump, who initiated direct talks with the Taliban, sidelining the Afghan government in 2018, and later culminated in the 2020 Doha Accords.
- The Accords, viewed as biased towards the Taliban, failed to secure commitments on political processes, women's rights, and the dismantling of terror camps.
- The withdrawal and resultant empowerment of the Taliban led to a "Great Abandonment" by the West, with countries like Russia, China, and Pakistan engaging with the new regime.
India’s Stance and Actions
- India's position remains complex, balancing humanitarian aid and a limited diplomatic presence through a "technical mission" in Kabul.
- India is contemplating expanding its diplomatic presence and possibly allowing a Taliban-appointed Ambassador in New Delhi.
- However, the Modi government faces criticism for not offering visas to Afghans fleeing the Taliban, thus alienating potential allies within Afghanistan.
Motivations for Engagement
- Realpolitik Approach: Engaging with the Taliban is seen as pragmatic since they are currently in control.
- Strategic Space Concerns: There's a fear of losing influence in Afghanistan compared to neighboring countries, though the Taliban’s ideological stance poses risks.
Challenges and Criticisms
- Engagement with the Taliban may not translate into strategic advantages as seen in past relationships with Afghan Republic institutions.
- India’s reluctance to provide asylum to Afghans, especially those who supported Indian interests, could jeopardize goodwill and future collaborations.
Recommendations for India
- Maintain ties with both the Taliban and opposition groups within Afghanistan to safeguard diverse political interests.
- Actively speak against the repression of women and support platforms for Afghan women's rights, including in sports like cricket.
- Facilitate events and discussions by the Afghan diaspora to ensure inclusive political representation and maintain relevance in Afghan affairs.
In conclusion, while diplomatic ties with the Taliban regime in Kabul may be necessary, India must also focus on rebuilding connections with opposition factions to ensure a balanced approach in its foreign policy concerning Afghanistan.