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C Raja Mohan writes: How to Trump-proof India-US relations

21 May 2025
2 min

India-US Relations Under Trump: Dynamics and Strategic Responses

Introduction: Challenges in Diplomatic Relations

The complexity of international relations is highlighted by the fragile nature of mutual trust, particularly between sovereign states. Recent actions by Donald Trump have significantly impacted India-US relations, especially concerning issues like Kashmir and Pakistan.

Historical Context of India-US Relations

  • The US historically supported Pakistan in the Kashmir conflict during the Cold War.
  • A shift began post-Kargil War (1999), with successive US administrations maintaining a balanced stance.
  • The Trump administration initially avoided mediating the Kashmir issue, supporting India's actions post-Pulwama and Balakot incidents.

Trump's Changing Stance

  • Trump's recent comments and actions have disturbed the established trust between India and the US.
  • His self-centric approach and equating economic relations between India and Pakistan are considered bizarre and disruptive.

Factors Behind the Shift

  • Trump's administration during his first term had clear policies emphasizing India as a strategic partner.
  • Currently, policy-making seems centralized around Trump, deviating from traditional systems and strategies.
  • Speculation exists regarding Trump's personal business interests influencing his foreign policy decisions, particularly related to Pakistan.

India's Strategic Response

  • Resilience in Crisis: India has a history of navigating larger crises with the US, maintaining a calm stance without engaging in daily political arguments.
  • Engagement and Strength: India continues to engage with the US based on its merits, reflecting its stature as a major global economy.
  • Diverse Engagement: Collaborations with diverse US institutions and strengthening ties with American corporations are key strategies.
  • Global Diversification: While the US remains crucial, India is expanding its partnerships with European countries, leveraging shared interests amidst challenges posed by US policies.

Conclusion: Long-term Strategic Goals

Despite current challenges, structural convergences between India and the US remain significant. India aims to safeguard these relationships through strategic domestic and international engagements. Emphasizing domestic industrial and technical capabilities, such as those demonstrated in Operation Sindoor, forms a cornerstone of India's future-oriented strategy.

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