Israeli Airstrikes on Iran: A Historical Context
Israel launched the "Rising Lion" operation targeting Iran’s nuclear and missile capabilities. This escalated the long-standing Jewish-Persian conflict, dating back to 586 BCE.
Operation Details
- The operation utilized Israeli gains from 21 months of conflict with Iran's proxies.
- Involved over 200 Israeli jets hitting more than 100 targets, including strategic infrastructure and high-value individuals such as Iran’s military leaders and nuclear scientists.
Background and Preparations
- Since October 7, 2023, Israel targeted Iranian proxies like Hamas, Hezbollah, and the Houthis.
- Installed a HTS-led Sunni regime in Syria, weakening Iran's defensive positions against Israel.
- Enhanced defenses using technology like laser-beam systems and bunker-buster ammunition for underground facilities.
International Involvement
- The United States, despite feigning non-involvement, has taken measures against Iran, including sanctions and military actions.
- The U.S. helped pass a resolution in the IAEA condemning Iran for nuclear violations, providing legal cover for Israeli actions.
- Engaged in geopolitical maneuvers, including leveraging relationships with Pakistan.
Regional Reactions
- The Sunni Arab world is apprehensive about potential repercussions from the conflict.
- Concerns include disruptions in oil flows and increased instability leading to potential terrorist activities.
Potential Consequences
- Observers worry about the conflict's unforeseen consequences, including regional destabilization and economic impacts.
- Long-term hostilities could result in higher inflation, disrupted supply chains, and global economic challenges.
- There's a risk of Iran expanding the conflict to retaliate against pro-Western states, potentially involving the U.S. directly.
India’s Stakes
- India has significant stakes, including the security of its diaspora, remittances, oil supplies, exports, and investments.
- Hopes for a swift resolution to ensure regional stability.
Nuclear Ambitions and Costs
Iran’s pursuit of nuclear technology has cost an estimated $100 billion, calling into question the prudence of its strategy given the current geopolitical repercussions.
