NITI Aayog's Roadmap for Clean Energy by 2070
In response to India's increasing energy demand and its aspiration to become a developed nation, NITI Aayog is formulating a roadmap extending to 2070. The focus is on reducing emissions and enhancing clean energy penetration across key sectors like mobility, agriculture, industry, cooking, and power.
Energy Model Redesign
- NITI Aayog is revamping the India Energy Security Scenarios (IESS) model to extend its analysis from the original target of 2047 to 2070.
- The model assesses the impact of green-energy policies and aims to balance supply and demand.
- It includes sectors such as power, renewable energy, bioenergy, and demand sectors like industry and cooking.
Macroeconomic Trajectories and Goals
- The methodology uses broad economic trajectories to set targets for achieving a GDP of $30 trillion by 2047.
- Population stabilization is projected at approximately 1.65 billion by 2047.
Net-Zero Exercise and Resource Demands
- The model helps identify data trajectories for net-zero emissions, addressing the distinct demands of sectors like industry, steel, and aluminum.
- Various energy sources, including thermal and nuclear power, are being considered to meet these demands, particularly for transportation fuel needs.
Cost and Investment Insights
- The planning process examines the integration of clean energy, considering costs and the necessary investment for sustainability.
- Challenges such as the slow shift of cargo transport from roads to rail are noted.
Interactive and Detailed Modelling
- The revamped model will allow users to create their own net-zero pathways, focusing on realistic sector contributions, especially in mobility and agriculture.
Governance and Implementation
- Nine working groups, comprising OEMs, academic institutions, and industry associations, are discussing the outcomes and pathways to net-zero.
- The updated pathway and model are expected to be released shortly, with phased policy implementation subject to top authority decisions.