US-Pakistan Relations and Strategic Interests
The recent lunch meeting between US President Donald Trump and Pakistan's Army Chief, General Asim Munir, has caused concern in India. This meeting, though unexpected, aligns with historical patterns and the strategic interests of the US.
Historical Context
- Long-standing Strategic Position: Pakistan is strategically positioned, bordering five key geopolitical regions: Indian, Chinese, Central Asian, Persian, and Arab.
- Cold War Alliances: Pakistan was a member of SEATO and CENTO, aiding US interests in containing communism during the Cold War.
- Historical Incidents:
- In 1960, a U-2 plane flown by a CIA pilot from Pakistan was shot down over Soviet airspace, creating an international crisis.
- In the 1970s, Pakistan facilitated US-China diplomatic relations through secret channels.
- Post-9/11 Era: Pakistan became crucial for US operations in Afghanistan, providing logistical and intelligence support, and access to airbases.
Current US-Pakistan Dynamics
- US-Pakistan Military Relationship: The US Department of Defence maintains a strong relationship with the Pakistan army, viewing it as a reliable and hierarchical force.
- Tactical Re-engagement: Trump's meeting with Munir is seen as a tactical move rather than a strategic shift. The US's interests include operations in Afghanistan, countering China’s influence, and managing regional risks.
US-India Relations
Strategic Partnership
- Deepening Relations: Since the economic reforms of 1991, India's relationship with the US has strengthened, marked by the 2008 nuclear deal, defense agreements like LEMOA and COMCASA, and the Quad alliance.
- Strategic Autonomy: India's independent stance, as evidenced during the Ukraine war, shows its focus on national interests over alliance politics.
India’s Long-term Value
- Strategic Strengths: India offers a stable democracy, a large consumer market, technological growth, competent military, and a commitment to rules-based global governance.
- Reliable Partner: India’s consistent policy approach during global crises underscores its reliability as a strategic partner.
Conclusion
The US's engagement with Pakistan is seen as tactical rather than strategic, driven by situational needs. In contrast, India’s stable and strategic value is expected to be a lasting component of US foreign policy. India's position as a rising power offers long-term benefits that outweigh the temporary engagements with Pakistan.