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Govt bond yields rise to five-month high ahead of large SDL supply

26 Aug 2025
1 min

Government Bond Yields and Economic Indicators

Government bond yields in India rose to a five-month high due to various economic factors, including higher state bond supply and Fitch Ratings' decision to maintain India's rating at 'BBB-' with a stable outlook.

Key Factors Influencing Bond Yields

  • The benchmark 10-year government bond yield increased to 6.60%, the highest since March 27, from the previous 6.55%.
  • State development loans (SDL) auction saw a supply exceeding Rs 10,000 crore more than the planned amount, causing sell-offs.
  • Fitch Ratings did not upgrade India's sovereign rating, unlike S&P Global Ratings, which recently upgraded it to 'BBB'.
  • Fitch cited robust growth outlook and solid external finances but highlighted government finances as a credit weakness.

State Government Bonds and Supply

  • 15 states plan to raise Rs 34,150 crore via debt, compared to the earlier planned Rs 20,850 crore.
  • Yields on 10-year SDLs rose from 6.84–6.88% in April to 7.09–7.17% by August 19.
  • 30-year SDL yields increased from around 6.87% in early April to approximately 7.44% in August.

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