Background on H-1B Visa Fee Hike
On September 19, 2025, U.S. President Donald Trump signed an executive order increasing the H-1B visa fee to $100,000. This move has sparked concerns, particularly for Indian workers, due to its potential impact amidst immigration control and protectionist policies. Although the fee targets new applicants, fears persist about broader implications.
Impact on the American Dream
- Arjun Appadurai: The American Dream remains alive despite the changing realities. The U.S. is still seen as a land of opportunity, even if access has become more restricted.
- Ajay Srivastava: The financial burden of visa fees and education loans makes it challenging for Indian students and workers, particularly young women. This situation may limit the scope of their aspirations over time.
Economic Impact and Misuse of H-1B Regime
- Ajay Srivastava: The U.S. benefits significantly from Indian students, earning $15 billion in tuition and over $10 billion in living expenses. Allegations of H-1B misuse are often overstated; most immigrants contribute positively by building or expanding companies.
- Arjun Appadurai: The U.S. is an immigration-based society facing internal challenges. Misplaced blame on immigrants overlooks the broader issues of wealth distribution and social welfare.
Future of AI Investment and Indian Workforce
- Ajay Srivastava: The U.S. plans a $600 billion-$1 trillion investment in AI over the next five years. Indian H-1B holders, who constitute 70% of the visa pool, are crucial, especially in high-level roles, but may face difficulties in renewal.
- Arjun Appadurai: AI development will focus on a few highly skilled individuals. The U.S. will need to adapt its education system to replace reliance on foreign talent, which can't happen overnight.
Geopolitical Strategy and Trump's Policies
- Ajay Srivastava: Trump's policy on H-1B is partly driven by domestic political needs, aiming to appease the MAGA base. India became an unintended target despite being a strategic partner.
- China and Europe also buy Russian oil, but India was singled out, indicating inconsistencies in the U.S. approach.
Advice and Future Implications
- Arjun Appadurai: Indian aspirants should carefully plan their investments in U.S. education and be prepared for policy changes. The current situation is unlikely to be permanent.
- Ajay Srivastava: Indian professionals should aim for projects of national importance to bypass the fee. Building a strong reputation internationally can facilitate entry into the U.S.