The Impact of the West Asia War on South Asia

The West Asia war, especially after the United States sunk the Iranian warship IRIS Dena, has profound implications for South Asia. The conflict has disrupted the availability of essentials such as food, fuel, and fertilizers, and poses a threat to the safety of the approximately 25 million South Asians residing in West Asia.

Demographics and Risks

• Approximately 10 million Indians, 5 million Pakistanis, 5-6 million Bangladeshis, and 2 million Nepalis are based in West Asia.
• Significant numbers from Sri Lanka, Bhutan, and the Maldives also reside there.
• Around 15% of the world's seafarers are Indians, with many others from South Asia, increasing their vulnerability, particularly near the Strait of Hormuz.

India's Diplomatic Position

India's initial stance on the conflict, marked by a delay in official condolences, has been scrutinized. South Asian countries quickly expressed condolences to Iran, while India was slower in its response.

• India's reaction is partly attributed to Prime Minister Narendra Modi's visit to Israel just before the conflict.
• India aims to maintain strong bilateral ties with all West Asian countries, avoiding regional fault lines.

Challenges in Diplomacy and Security

India's role as a regional security provider is challenged by unilateral U.S. actions, like the sinking of IRIS Dena.

• India is part of the Quad, alongside the U.S., Japan, and Australia, which emphasizes regional stability.
• India needs to strengthen its involvement in regional coalitions like the Indian Ocean Rim Association and the Colombo Security Conclave.

Regional Cooperation and Global Relations

There's a pressing need for enhanced regional trade, connectivity, and energy-sharing platforms in South Asia.

• India's leadership role in organizations like BRICS requires diplomatic finesse, especially amid tensions involving members like Iran and the UAE.
• India plans to host important summits, including the Quad and BRICS, where it aims to navigate complex geopolitical dynamics.

Conclusion

India must recalibrate its West Asia policy to balance relations between the U.S.-Israel alliance and Iran. This balancing act is crucial for ensuring regional stability and advancing India’s strategic interests both regionally and globally.