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India's trade surplus shifts towards Asia and Africa in early FY27

17 Jun 2026
1 min

Trade Balance Realignment in India

Recent trade data indicates a significant shift in India's trade balance, highlighting a geographical realignment with notable surpluses in Asia and Africa, contrasted with traditional partners like the US and Europe.

Trade Surplus and Deficit Overview

  • US and Netherlands:
    • India's trade surplus with the US reduced to $6.15 billion from $7.87 billion year-on-year, due to a 55% increase in imports reaching $5.87 billion, while exports remained stable.
    • The surplus with the Netherlands also decreased.
  • Asia and Africa:
    • India's trade balance with Singapore reversed to a surplus of $665 million from a $1.3 billion deficit.
    • South Africa saw a similar shift, moving from a $17 million deficit to a $492 million surplus.
    • Trade surplus with Tanzania surged to $1.71 billion, a result of a 172% increase in exports.
    • Sri Lanka also experienced a trade surplus increase to over $1 billion from $404 million, due to nearly tripled exports.
  • United Arab Emirates (UAE):
    • The trade deficit reduced to $4.53 billion from $6.18 billion, still recovering from West Asia conflict disruptions.
  • China:
    • India's trade deficit with China significantly worsened, exceeding $20 billion.
  • Europe:
    • While surplus with the Netherlands shrank, exports to Italy and Spain increased by over 40%, enhancing India's surplus in southern Europe.

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RELATED TERMS

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Trade Deficit

A situation where a country imports more goods and services than it exports. It is the opposite of a trade surplus.

Trade Surplus

A situation where a country's exports exceed its imports in value. A large trade surplus can indicate strong export performance but may also suggest insufficient domestic demand or currency undervaluation, potentially leading to international trade tensions.

Trade Balance

The difference between a country's exports and imports of goods and services. A positive trade balance means a country exports more than it imports.

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