Cancer deaths expected to rise to over 18 million in 2050 | Current Affairs | Vision IAS
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In Summary

Global cancer deaths may surpass 18 million by 2050, with prevention opportunities linked to modifiable risks; rising cases are more severe in lower-income countries, including India, prompting targeted initiatives.

In Summary

As per the analysis conducted by the Global Burden of Disease Cancer Collaborators, at least 30.5 million people worldwide are forecast to receive a new cancer diagnosis in 2050.

Key findings of the study

  • Modifiable risk factors: At least 42% deaths globally in 2023 were attributable to 44 potentially modifiable risk factors, including tobacco use, an unhealthy diet and high blood sugar.
    • It represents enormous opportunity for prevention.
  • Deadliest cancers worldwide: Lung cancerBreast cancer, Stomach cancer, Prostate cancer and Cervical cancer respectively. 
    • Increases in deaths are greater in low-income and middle-income countries compared with high-income countries.
  • Finding related to India
    • India ranks 168th out of 204 countries for cancer death rates.
    • Breast cancer and Lung cancer major contributors in India.

Primary Causes of cancer

  • Occupational risks: Workplace-related exposures, Air pollution.
  • Infections: Unsafe sex, HPV (cervical cancer risk).
  • Lifestyle changes: Rising obesity, High blood sugar, High alcohol use, changing diets affecting breast cancer risk.
  • Cultural, Geographic factors
    • Betel nut/Pan consumption: Direct link to high oral cancer rates.
    • Hot beverages: Oesophageal cancer.
    • Tobacco: Smoking, chewing, bidis (lung, oral cancers).

Initiatives to curb cancer in India

  • The National Cancer Registry Programme (NCRP):  under ICMR enabling evidence-based policy decisions.
  •  Union Budget 2025-26: Day Care Cancer Centres in all district hospitals over the next three years. 
  • National Programme for Prevention and Control of Cancer, Diabetes, Cardiovascular Diseases and Stroke (NPCDCS): under the National Health Mission (NHM).
  • Other: NexCAR19 therapy, National Cancer Grid (NCG), Quad Cancer Moonshot etc.
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