Union Government notifies the inflation target for 2026-2031 under Flexible Inflation Targeting (FIT) Framework | Current Affairs | Vision IAS

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In Summary

  • The RBI Act, 1934 was amended in 2016 to implement the FIT framework, recommended by the Dr. Urjit Patel-headed committee.
  • The Central Government sets the CPI inflation target (4% with 2-6% tolerance bands) every five years, retained for 2016-2031.
  • A six-member MPC, headed by the RBI Governor, determines policy rates; failure occurs if inflation stays outside tolerance for three consecutive quarters.

In Summary

In 2016, the Reserve Bank of India Act, 1934 was amended to provide a statutory basis for the implementation of the FIT framework in India. 

  • The FIT framework was recommended by an Expert Committee headed by Dr. Urjit Patel

About FIT Framework

  • As per Section 45ZA of the RBI Act, 1934, Central Government shall, in consultation with the Bank, determine the inflation target in terms of the Consumer Price Index (CPI), once in every five years.
  • Target: Central Government then notified the inflation target of 4% with upper tolerance band of 6% and lower tolerance band of 2% for the period 2016-2021.
    • This target was retained for 2021-2026 and now has been retained for 2026-2031 as well. 
  • Target Achievement: RBI Act provides for a Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) to determine the policy rate required to achieve the inflation target.
  • Composition: It is a six-member body comprising:
    • RBI Governor (ex-officio Chairperson)
    • RBI Deputy Governor (in charge of monetary policy)
    • One RBI officer nominated by the Central Board
    • Three external members appointed by the central government with expertise in economics, banking and finance, or monetary policy
  • Policy Failure: Inflation outside the tolerance band for three consecutive quarters is considered a failure of the monetary policy framework.
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RELATED TERMS

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Consumer Price Index (CPI)

A measure that tracks the average change over time in the prices paid by urban consumers for a market basket of consumer goods and services. It is a key indicator of inflation and is used by central banks for monetary policy decisions and by governments for economic planning.

Policy Failure (Monetary Policy)

In the context of the FIT framework, a failure of the monetary policy is declared if inflation remains outside the specified tolerance band for three consecutive quarters. This triggers a mandatory report from the RBI to the government explaining the reasons and remedial actions.

Tolerance Band (for inflation)

The acceptable range within which inflation is allowed to fluctuate around the target. In India, the inflation target is set with an upper and lower tolerance band. For example, a 4% target with a 6% upper band and 2% lower band means inflation is considered within the target if it stays between 2% and 6%.

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