Two years on, a flicker of hope in Gaza
Two years ago, Hamas militants breached the Gaza-Israel border, launching an attack during a Jewish holiday, in an operation called Al-Aqsa Flood. This resulted in the death of 1,200 Israeli citizens, and 251 were abducted. The Israeli government, launched Operation Iron Swords in response, aiming to dismantle Hamas's capabilities and secure the release of hostages.
Motivations and Miscalculations
- Hamas attempted to respond to Israeli provocations and prevent US-backed normalization between Israel and Saudi Arabia.
- Hamas also aimed to establish its dominance in the Palestinian resistance.
- Hamas underestimated the intensity of Israel’s response and the personal motivations of Netanyahu, who sought to remain in power and avoid political repercussions.
Humanitarian and Economic Impact
- Over 67,000 Palestinians have been killed, with many women and children among the victims.
- 60% of homes and most of Gaza's infrastructure have been destroyed, displacing almost all of Gaza's 2.3 million residents.
- Gaza's GDP has shrunk by 80%, leading to widespread unemployment and severe psychological impacts on its people.
Consequences in Israel
The war has left Israel facing intense security and intelligence failures. Despite controlling large parts of Gaza, Hamas remains active, and not all hostages have been freed. Israel's international isolation has increased, and its long-term security is uncertain.
Geopolitical Repercussions
- The conflict has profoundly impacted the region, affecting Lebanon, Syria, and Iran.
- Hezbollah was significantly weakened after Israel's successful operations, leading to a ceasefire and Lebanon's reassertion of control.
- The weakening of Hezbollah and Assad's regime in Syria has diminished Iran's influence.
- Israel targeted Iran’s nuclear facilities, leading to renewed UN sanctions and stalled nuclear talks.
Challenges and Diplomacy
The Gaza war has exacerbated regional tensions and tested international humanitarian laws. Current talks in Sharm el-Sheikh, Egypt, aim for long-lasting peace, which remains elusive after 75 years of conflict.
