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Mission improbable: Donald Trump's movie tariff proposals defy logic

2 min read

Overview of Trump's Tariff on Foreign Films

American President Donald Trump's imposition of a 100 percent tariff on foreign films is a controversial move in his broader tariff wars, which were intended to address the United States' trade deficits by encouraging domestic investment and job creation. Economists largely view Trump's strategy as flawed, and the decision to target films is seen as irrational.

Key Points of the Tariff Policy

  • Extension into Services: Films fall under the category of services, signaling an expansion of tariffs beyond goods.
  • US Trade Surplus in Films: The US consistently has a surplus in film trade, with a $15.3 billion surplus in 2023.
  • Potential Backlash: The tariff could provoke reciprocal restrictions, potentially harming Hollywood, which earns 70% of its global box-office revenue from international markets.
  • US Soft Power: This move could undermine America's cultural influence globally.

Unanswered Questions

  • Does the tariff apply to productions by American companies shot outside the US?
  • Will it affect streaming services like Netflix? If so, how will rates be calculated?
  • President Trump plans to consult industry executives for their opinions.

Rationale Behind the Move

The initiative is partly driven by a desire to restore jobs in production-related services that have increasingly moved abroad due to high costs in California. Countries like the UK, Australia, New Zealand, and Canada offer more cost-effective production environments.

Current Status of Hollywood

  • The US film industry remains a global leader despite challenges, with American films dominating top-grossing lists.
  • Hollywood significantly contributes to the world's highest-rated films, accounting for approximately 90 out of 100.
  • Efforts are being made to advocate for federal tax incentives to lower production costs in the US.

Despite the tariff announcement, Hollywood's entrenched global position suggests it does not require protectionist measures to maintain its stature.

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  • Trump's Tariff
  • Status of Hollywood
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