Israel's Military Offensive Against Iran
Israel has launched a significant military operation named Operation Rising Lion against Iran, marking the most extensive Israeli offensive since the June War of 1967. This move comes after prolonged tensions between the two nations, which date back to the founding of the Islamic Republic in 1979.
Historical Context of Tensions
- Iran's theological stance towards Israel has made diplomatic ties impossible.
- Iran has historically supported regional proxies like Hamas, Hezbollah, the Houthis, and the Popular Mobilisation Forces to counter Israel.
- This proxy strategy provides Iran with military leverage while allowing deniability in direct conflicts.
Israel's Strategic Dilemma
- Israel's periodic military responses to these proxies offer only temporary relief.
- Despite sustained military operations, groups like Hamas in Gaza and Hezbollah in Lebanon continue to pose challenges.
- Israel aims to reduce the long-term capabilities of these groups by targeting Iran directly.
Military Details of Operation Rising Lion
- On a recent Friday, 200 Israeli aircraft struck 100 targets in Iran using 300 types of ammunition.
- Targets included missile bases and nuclear facilities, notably the Natanz nuclear site.
- The operation is described as an "existential" battle to eliminate Iran's nuclear threat.
Challenges and International Context
- Anticipation of an Israeli strike has led Iran to fortify its nuclear facilities.
- The offensive coincides with ongoing negotiations in Oman to revive the 2015 nuclear deal.
- The International Atomic Energy Agency has criticized Iran's non-compliance with non-proliferation commitments.
Iran's Response and Regional Implications
- Iran retaliated with drone strikes, some intercepted over Jordan.
- The confrontation highlights regional tensions, with previous similar conflicts involving Western and regional powers.
- Israel asserts its readiness to act alone for its national interests.
Conclusion
The ongoing conflict between Israel and Iran underscores the unpredictability of war. Both nations are driven by a desire for victory, but the outcomes remain uncertain. The situation reaffirms the historical lesson that while wars are often easy to start, their endings are unpredictable.
