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A climate resilience pathway between India and China

06 Aug 2026
1 min

Impact of El Niño and Climate Change

In July 2026, the southern Guangxi region of China, including cities like Hengzhou, experienced severe flooding. Similarly, India faced a delayed monsoon due to the influence of El Niño, leading to intense rains once the monsoon arrived.

Effects in India

  • Severe flooding in cities such as Mumbai and Surat, where a month's worth of rainfall occurred within a few days.
  • Regions in Assam and Odisha also faced severe flooding, with significant loss of life and damage to infrastructure.

Effects in China

  • Large areas of China's provinces, particularly Guangxi, Shaanxi, and Gansu, experienced severe weather conditions.

Common Challenges and Climate Change

Both India and China are experiencing increasingly common extreme weather events, which pose threats to economic growth, food security, and public well-being. Experts link these high-intensity weather patterns to climate change, which is increasing atmospheric temperatures and warming oceans.

Need for Cooperation

The frequent and large-scale nature of these events underscores the importance of mitigation and recovery efforts. It raises the question of whether climate resilience could serve as a basis for cooperation between India and China.

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Climate resilience

The capacity of systems (such as agriculture, infrastructure, or communities) to withstand, adapt to, and recover from climate-related shocks and stresses, ensuring continued functionality and well-being.

Climate Change

A long-term shift in global or regional climate patterns, often attributed to increased levels of atmospheric carbon dioxide produced by the use of fossil fuels. It is a significant global risk identified in the report.

El Nino

The warm phase of the El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO). It occurs when trade winds weaken, allowing warm ocean water to shift eastward towards South America, typically impacting global weather patterns with a warming effect.

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