Report titled ‘Military Escalation In The Middle East: Human Development Impacts Across Asia And The Pacific’ noted that the South Asia bears the largest absolute and relative economic losses.
Impact of conflict on India
- Human Development: The crisis could push nearly 2.5 million Indians into poverty.
- Energy & Finance: Rising gas prices have led to weakening of Indian Rupee and forced a shift to coal, elevating pollution and health risks.
- India gets over 40% of its oil imports and 90% of all LPG imports from West Asia.
- Trade & Health: Disruptions (such as stranded air cargo) threaten ~ US$48 billion non-oil exports to West Asia.
- Agriculture & Food: West Asia supplies over 45% of India’s fertilizer imports, and 85% of domestic urea production relies on imported liquefied natural gas.
- A prolonged disruption threatens the vital upcoming Kharif (monsoon) season.
- Labour & Remittances: About 9.37 million Indians in the Gulf are exposed to labour disruptions, threatening the 38 to 40% of inward remittances they generate.
Policy priorities to build long-term resilience
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