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AI-enabled Weather Forecasting Systems

30 Jun 2026
2 min

In Summary

  • Ministry of Earth Sciences launched AI-driven weather products: Monsoon Advance forecast and 1-km resolution rainfall forecast for Uttar Pradesh.
  • These systems, developed by IMD and others, offer hyper-local, impact-based forecasts to aid agriculture, disaster management, and urban planning.
  • The initiative enhances climate resilience, strengthens grassroots governance, and supports India's global role in weather forecasting under the UN Early Warning for All initiative.

In Summary

Why in the News

Ministry of Earth Sciences launched two advanced weather forecast products, aimed at delivering hyper-local, impact-based and AI-driven weather services across the country.

More on the News

  • Two products launched include,
    • AI-enabled "Forecast of Monsoon Advance over Different Parts of the Country" and
    • "High Spatial Resolution Rainfall Forecast for Uttar Pradesh" as a pilot service.
  • The systems are jointly developed by the India Meteorological Department (IMD), Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology Pune, and National Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasting.

About the AI-enabled Forecast of Monsoon Advance over Different Parts of the Country

  • It is the first-ever AI-driven monsoon advance forecasting system developed by the India Meteorological Department (IMD) and others.
  • It provides probabilistic forecasts of monsoon progression every Wednesday up to 4 weeks in advance.
  • Agricultural Support:
    • Designed to support farmers across 16 States and more than 3,000 sub-districts through the dissemination framework of the Ministry of Agriculture and Farmers' Welfare.
    • It combines AI-based forecasting models, extended range prediction systems and statistical techniques for agricultural planning and preparedness.
Infographic titled

About High Spatial Resolution Rainfall Forecast for Uttar Pradesh

  • It is a pilot service providing rainfall forecasts at 1-km spatial resolution up to 10 days in advance.
  • It uses AI-driven downscaling techniques and integrates data from Automatic Rain Gauges, Automatic Weather Stations, Doppler Weather Radars, and Satellite-based rainfall datasets.
  • It is useful for agriculture, disaster management, urban planning, water resources and renewable energy sectors.

Significance of Hyper local Weather forecasting

  • Improved Agriculture Planning: Provides precise soil moisture, temperature and rainfall data for better crop management.
  • Monsoon Variability: Helps predict India's tropical and highly unpredictable monsoon systems more accurately.
  • Disaster Preparedness and Response: Accurate prediction of rain, cyclones, heatwaves and droughts supports informed disaster management decisions.
  • Strengthens Grassroots Governance: Makes rural communities more climate-resilient and better prepared for environmental challenges.
  • Urban Planning: Helps monitor air quality, heat distribution and rainfall for better disaster management and prevention.
    • Urban Heat Island Effect: Helps forecast higher temperatures in urban areas caused by localized heating.
  • Global Climate Resilience: Strengthens India's role in global climate resilience through IMD's support to developing nations under the UN Early Warning for All initiative.

Conclusion

The launch of AI-enabled hyper-local weather forecasting systems marks a major step towards climate-resilient and technology-driven governance by improving agricultural planning, disaster preparedness and public decision-making, while strengthening India's leadership in advanced weather forecasting and global climate resilience.

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UN Early Warning for All initiative

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